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Thesis Code: |
P. 572 |
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Author (s): |
Nasser Assadi Nazari |
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Title: |
Coercive Diplomacy: Comparative Stady of
American Politics Towards Iraq, Iybia and Iran |
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Supervisor (s): |
Mahmood Sariolghalam |
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Advisor (s): |
Asghar Eftakhari |
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Thesis: |
M. A. Political Science |
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Date of Print: |
Summer 2007 |
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University: |
IMAM SADIQ (AS) |
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College: |
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Islamic Studies and Political
Sciences |
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Abstract:
Coercive diplomacy is a non-military strategy to
persuade a target state to back down through threat rather than force.
The main instrument of persuasion is punishment in the case of
contravention of incentives of coercive state. Using force in coercive
diplomacy is intended to deescalate the tension or conflict if it
happens. Therefore, coercive diplomacy fails when the coercive state
begins war. The main question of the present article is about the
consequences of using coercive diplomacy by America against Libya, Iran
and Iraq. We assume that changing the behaviors of those states that
have disputes with America is a top priority of US foreign policy.
Failure of diplomatic ways including coercive diplomacy as an intricate
combination of force and diplomacy may pave the way for regime change
policy in US foreign policy.
US coercive diplomacy against Saddam from 1990 until
2003 was not successful due to imbalance in US strategy. This stemmed
from lack of proportionality between aims and tools of coercer on the
one hand and absence of reciprocity on the other. US invasion of Iraq in
2003 was a clear breakdown of coercive diplomacy. Although the first
phase of coercive diplomacy against Libya (1990-1998) included the
proportionality factor, it had not the reciprocity one. US strategy
could benefit from three main and determining factors of success in the
second phase that is proportionality, credibility of threat and
reciprocity. Furthermore, domestic politics and economic vulnerabilities
of Libya facilitated the success of coercive diplomacy. Consequently
Libya accepted voluntary disarmament in December 2003.
US coercive diplomacy against Iran from 1990 until
2003 was not effective because she could not make the sanctions
multilateral and legitimate. Moreover, Iran's economic and domestic
vulnerabilities were not considerable. US sought ambitious aims in
containing Iran in this period and realizing them was too difficult
regarding Iran's stance in domestic and foreign policy. Iran's adroit
policy in this period restricted effectiveness of US policy and
therefore coercive diplomacy against Iran could not bring success.
Key Words
Coercive diplomacy, Iraq, Iran, Libya,
Credibility, proportionality, Balance
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